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Australian Antarctic Division Cosmic Ray Real Time Data at ASWFC

Mawson Cosmic Ray Data

Historical Australian Antarctic Division Cosmic Ray data from Kingston in Tasmania, and Mawson in Antarctica are available in the ASWFC World Data Centre.

NOTE: Kingston data no longer available due to equipment failure.

Background

Cosmic rays consist mainly of protons. They can originate from galactic cosmic radiation or from the Sun. Cosmic rays are observed indirectly by a device known as a neutron monitor. When cosmic ray particles enter the Earth's atmosphere they interact with the nuclei of the air molecules to produce secondary radiation. This consists of pions (which decay to muons) and a shower of protons and neutrons. The neutrons predominate in this secondary radiation because the protons, being charged are more easily attenuated in subsequent travel. The cosmic ray detector actual detects these secondary neutrons and as a consequence is referred to as a neutron monitor.

Cosmic Ray Data Applications to Space Weather Forecasting

Forbush Decrease Event

The magnetic fields entrapped in and around coronal mass ejections exert a shielding effect on the galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) which is detected by the neutron monitors. This causes a reduction in the count rate from the monitor. The reduction is typically from about 3 to 20%. The reduction occurs typically over a timescale of several hours to a few days.

Forbush decrease events must be at least 3% for a Forbush decrease alert to be issued.

The reduction in the GCR due to a coronal mass ejection (CME) is dependent upon:

  • the size of the CME
  • the strength of the magnetic fields in the CME
  • the proximity of the CME to the Earth

Because the reduction is dependent on three factors (rather than one), it is difficult to forecast the time from a Forbush Decrease to the arrival of a coronal mass ejection at the Earth. However, previous experience in ASWFC is that a Forbush Decrease is a reliable indicator of a geomagnetic storm, and that warning times of up to 24 hours or more may be made. The Forbush Decrease can be used in conjunction with other indications (eg coronagraph imagery) to further confirm the event. Detection of a Forbush Decrease is in use at the ASWFC for assistance in prediction of geomagnetic storms.

Ground Level Event

In this case, an increase in detector count rate is not due to galactic cosmic radiation, but to the addition of solar cosmic (high energy) radiation (solar cosmic rays) from an previous solar particle event (SPE). The increase in the count rate may be from about 3 to 10,000%. The increase from ambient to peak count rate may take only a few minutes (fast high energy event) to an hour or two (slow and usually lower energy event). The return of the count rate to galactic cosmic ray background may take anywhere from a few hours to a few days.

Neutron Monitor Data from Mawson, Antarctica

Data is transferred at 5 minute intervals, 1 record per minute. For slow ground level event detection (increase in count rate) and forbush decrease (decrease in count rate) hourly averages of the minute data are used. Alert thresholds (above and below) have been set at 4 times the standard deviation obtained over a 48 hour period. In addition Forbush decrease events must be at least 3% for a ASWFC Forbush Decrease alert to be issued. The threshold shown in the plots are the 5 times standard deviation threshold. The requirement of at least a 3% decrease is necessary for when the cosmic ray data exhibits very little variation, bringing the 4 times standard variation threshold potentially very close in counts to small data count fluctuations, increasing the risk of false alarms being produced.

For fast ground level events the minute data is used with a increase perentage threshold of 10%.

To try and minimize GLE false alarms the GOES solar xray flux must also be greater than M5 at the time of detection of the GLE.

The above thresholds are experimental and may need to be adjusted with experience.

The data displayed below is provided by the Australian Antarctic program in near real time. A neutron monitor located in Antarctica has no geomagnetic (lower) cutoff energy (although there is atmospheric cutoff energy), and thus provides the most sensitive indication of cosmic radiation of any sensor located on the Earth's surface.

Realtime Cosmic Ray detectors (Neutron Monitors) operated by other organizations are also available:

Fast Ground Level Event Detection Plots

Latest Minute Data:

Mawson Cosmic Ray Minute Data

Minute Data over last 24 hours:

Mawson Cosmic ray Data

Log of Fast Ground Level Events:

(last updated 06 Jun 2018 04:30 UT - empty)

Slow Ground Level Event and Forbush Decrease Detection Plot

Hourly Averaged Data:

Mawson Cosmic ray Data

Log of Detected Forbush Decrease Events and Slow Ground Level Events:

Slow Ground Level Event Observed at MAW 28/10/2021 DOY: 301 Hour: 22UT Count: 16709.3 Avg: 14501.5 Upper Alarm Level 16007.3 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 13/03/2022 DOY: 72 Hour: 22UT Count: 14082.0 Avg: 14531.5 Lower Alarm Level: 14110.0 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 4%) at MAW 14/03/2022 DOY: 73 Hour: 04UT Count: 13846.3 Avg: 14506.6 Lower Alarm Level: 13879.8 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 31/03/2022 DOY: 90 Hour: 20UT Count: 13874.7 Avg: 14308.1 Lower Alarm Level: 13939.4 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 16/06/2022 DOY: 167 Hour: 02UT Count: 13727.7 Avg: 14159.5 Lower Alarm Level: 13770.9 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 12/07/2022 DOY: 193 Hour: 19UT Count: 13812.3 Avg: 14280.4 Lower Alarm Level: 13825.1 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 23/07/2022 DOY: 204 Hour: 05UT Count: 13529.7 Avg: 13962.9 Lower Alarm Level: 13575.3 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 20/08/2022 DOY: 232 Hour: 00UT Count: 13331.3 Avg: 13801.6 Lower Alarm Level: 13421.2 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 01/10/2022 DOY: 274 Hour: 01UT Count: 13281.0 Avg: 13713.9 Lower Alarm Level: 13356.8 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 15/03/2023 DOY: 74 Hour: 08UT Count: 13035.3 Avg: 13450.2 Lower Alarm Level: 13234.9 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 23/03/2023 DOY: 82 Hour: 21UT Count: 12575.3 Avg: 12969.7 Lower Alarm Level: 12674.1 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 18/04/2023 DOY: 108 Hour: 19UT Count: 12909.7 Avg: 13319.1 Lower Alarm Level: 13028.5 Slow Ground Level Event Observed at MAW 21/04/2023 DOY: 111 Hour: 00UT Count: 15175.3 Avg: 13086.7 Upper Alarm Level 13532.1 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 23/04/2023 DOY: 113 Hour: 20UT Count: 12746.0 Avg: 13190.4 Lower Alarm Level: 12944.0 Slow Ground Level Event Observed at MAW 07/06/2023 DOY: 158 Hour: 17UT Count: 15197.3 Avg: 13241.9 Upper Alarm Level 13533.7 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 02/08/2023 DOY: 214 Hour: 05UT Count: 12691.0 Avg: 13088.5 Lower Alarm Level: 12833.4 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 18/09/2023 DOY: 261 Hour: 18UT Count: 12649.3 Avg: 13049.5 Lower Alarm Level: 12821.5 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 4%) at MAW 19/09/2023 DOY: 262 Hour: 00UT Count: 12473.0 Avg: 13013.2 Lower Alarm Level: 12549.8 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 25/09/2023 DOY: 268 Hour: 05UT Count: 12467.0 Avg: 12863.4 Lower Alarm Level: 12481.2 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 06/11/2023 DOY: 310 Hour: 00UT Count: 12568.3 Avg: 13029.1 Lower Alarm Level: 12588.5 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 25/11/2023 DOY: 329 Hour: 13UT Count: 12667.0 Avg: 13059.1 Lower Alarm Level: 12893.4 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 26/11/2023 DOY: 330 Hour: 00UT Count: 12604.7 Avg: 13033.3 Lower Alarm Level: 12685.6 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 01/12/2023 DOY: 335 Hour: 23UT Count: 12339.0 Avg: 12783.1 Lower Alarm Level: 12431.3 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 24/03/2024 DOY: 84 Hour: 17UT Count: 12495.3 Avg: 12903.7 Lower Alarm Level: 12691.5 Slow Ground Level Event Observed at MAW 10/04/2024 DOY: 101 Hour: 11UT Count: 18430.7 Avg: 12933.2 Upper Alarm Level 13156.4 Slow Ground Level Event Observed at MAW 10/04/2024 DOY: 101 Hour: 20UT Count: 17364.0 Avg: 12613.8 Upper Alarm Level 16505.8 Slow Ground Level Event Observed at MAW 15/04/2024 DOY: 106 Hour: 01UT Count: 15.0 Avg: 9.9 Upper Alarm Level 13.4 Slow Ground Level Event Observed at MAW 15/04/2024 DOY: 106 Hour: 07UT Count: 12878.7 Avg: 10.1 Upper Alarm Level 14.6 Forbush Decrease Observed ( 3%) at MAW 10/05/2024 DOY: 131 Hour: 21UT Count: 12515.3 Avg: 12978.3 Lower Alarm Level: 12784.7

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