Solar Flare Forecast
Updates: Hourly
Last update: 17:00 UT 07-Oct-2025
Last update: 17:00 UT 07-Oct-2025
M (R1-R2)
10%
X (R3-R5)
1%
Solar Flare Probabilities
Region | ≥ M1 | ≥ X1 |
full disk | 10% | 1% |
4232 | <1% | <1% |
4235 | <1% | <1% |
4236 | 5% | <1% |
4241 | <1% | <1% |
4242 | <1% | <1% |
4243 | <1% | <1% |
4244 | <1% | <1% |
4245 | <1% | <1% |
4246 | <1% | <1% |
Solar flare forecasts are also available through the WMO Information System (search for "solar flare"; requires registration).
See the Australian Space Weather Alert System (ASWAS) for a description of the R (radio blackout) scale.
For more information on the solar flare forecast please visit the Solar Help Page.