Solar Flare Forecast
Updates: Hourly
Last update: 21:00 UT 04-Sep-2025
Last update: 21:00 UT 04-Sep-2025
M (R1-R2)
30%
X (R3-R5)
1%
Solar Flare Probabilities
| Region | ≥ M1 | ≥ X1 |
| full disk | 30% | 1% |
| 4197 | 1% | <1% |
| 4199 | 10% | <1% |
| 4201 | <1% | <1% |
| 4202 | <1% | <1% |
| 4205 | <1% | <1% |
| 4206 | <1% | <1% |
| 4207 | 20% | <1% |
| 4210 | 1% | <1% |
| 4211 | <1% | <1% |
Solar flare forecasts are also available through the WMO Information System (search for "solar flare"; requires registration).
See the Australian Space Weather Alert System (ASWAS) for a description of the R (radio blackout) scale.
For more information on the solar flare forecast please visit the Solar Help Page.
