Solar Flare Forecast
Updates: Hourly
Last update: 09:00 UT 14-Oct-2025
Last update: 09:00 UT 14-Oct-2025
M (R1-R2)
65%
X (R3-R5)
15%
Solar Flare Probabilities
Region | ≥ M1 | ≥ X1 |
full disk | 65% | 15% |
4246 | 60% | 10% |
4247 | <1% | <1% |
4248 | 15% | 1% |
4250 | <1% | <1% |
4251 | <1% | <1% |
4252 | <1% | <1% |
4253 | <1% | <1% |
Solar flare forecasts are also available through the WMO Information System (search for "solar flare"; requires registration).
See the Australian Space Weather Alert System (ASWAS) for a description of the R (radio blackout) scale.
For more information on the solar flare forecast please visit the Solar Help Page.